Tag Archives: Covid

September 07

Job Market Tests Positive

By David Nelson, CFA CMT Friday’s jobs numbers were disappointing on a lot of levels. It confirmed Delta has started to slow economic activity. Industries on the front lines including airlines, travel and hotels have been first to feel the pain. Leisure and hospitality added nothing and even education came in below expectations. It really […]

August 09

9 Months Later

By David Nelson, CFA CMT For 9 months the S&P 500 has steadily pushed higher in a relatively tight channel masking the true volatility. Investors spent much of that time rushing from one secular trade to the next trying to decide if the glass was half full or half empty. Of course, 9 months almost to […]

August 02

Dr. Fauci – It’s time to go

By David Nelson, CFA CMT A return of Covid restrictions and the inevitable reduction in economic activity is still the biggest risk investors face and in part likely explains some recent behavior in fixed income markets. As the Wall Street Journal points out virus cases are on the rise especially in parts of the country where […]

April 13

JNJ Spooks the Market

February 15

All Bulled Up

By David Nelson, CFA CMT Markets pushed higher last week but clearly most of the economic data was soft. Jobless claims, Consumer Confidence and CPI all came in short of expectations. Earnings reports continue to be robust and well above estimates, but we’ve seen this movie before. A combination of lowered expectations and analysts behind the curve […]

October 26

Biggest risk for the market – It’s not what you think

The truth rarely lives on the extremes. Unless we’re about to unwind hundreds of years of economic data and history, long term equity returns are driven by earnings, cash flow, dividends and revenue in that order

October 05

Is Market Cap Becoming a Liability?

SPY vs IWM vs RSP – Investors are desperate for some new blood to do the heavy lifting

October 04

Market Reaction to Covid in the White House

There’s a reason why ratings for the House and Senate are the lowest in a generation

July 13

Disney World Reopens

By David Nelson, CFA CMT In the face of rising daily infections throughout much of the U.S. last week was a strong one for risk assets. We continue to march forward with plans to reopen the economy, but the recent viral surge has called into question plans for Fortune 500 companies to get back to […]