Tag Archives: FOMC

April 20

JUST SHUT UP!

April 04

We’re not in Kansas anymore

By David Nelson, CFA Investors entered 2022 with several issues that needed to be resolved. The bubble in non-profitable technology stocks had already started to unwind and inflation was well on its way to becoming a problem not just for investors and the FOMC but for everyday Americans. Add a war breaking out in Ukraine that escalated […]

January 24

No Man’s Land – How Far Could Stocks Fall?

By David Nelson, CFA CMT There are no easy answers as to why markets fell apart last week. All the usual suspects had a hand in the carnage. A Fed increasingly behind the curve, inflation expectations rising, a news cycle that gets more frightening by the day and the growing realization that there is payback for […]

January 09

The Dot Plots Moved

Post the Fed Minutes the Dot Plots all moved up pointing to March as lift off for Fed Rate Hikes.

December 20

When doves turn into hawks

When #Fed doves start to sound like rate hawks it’s a good bet #FOMC is behind the curve. Meanwhile the long end of the curve doesn’t agree $SPY $TLT #economy

September 20

Fed Day – The beginning of the end…

By David Nelson, CFA CMT As strategists, portfolio managers, analysts, or market pundits we tend to hype the importance of events to support a narrative that explains our market outlook. In the last decade it has been hard to write a market piece or research report without some mention of the Federal Reserve and or […]

June 21

Iceberg Dead Ahead!

By David Nelson, CFA CMT The iceberg barely visible in my post from last week came into full view following Wednesday’s FOMC decision and the release that followed. If the analyst notes post the decision are any indication it seems Jay Powell and company caught the street by surprise. While the overall hit to the […]

May 26

Clock is Ticking

David joins BNN Bloomberg News host John Ehrlichman to weigh in on the latest news driving markets.

May 24

Tick Tock Tick Tock…

By David Nelson, CFA CMT On Wednesday last the release of FOMC minutes confirmed what investors and markets already know. The Taper Clock has started and the countdown to an inevitable tightening of monetary policy has begun. The sentence ‘ a number of participants suggested if the economy continued to make rapid progress towards the Committee’s goals, […]

May 17

Cracks in the Facade

By David Nelson, CFA CMT Last week may have ended on a high note but visible cracks in the market façade weighed on investor sentiment. Inflation expectations took center stage as both headline CPI and PPI releases came in well above expectations prompting a modest flight from risk assets. Stocks recovered on both Thursday and […]