By David Nelson, CFA CMT Before we get started put down the knives, get off twitter and take a breath. I’m not calling the end of the bear market. If I could do that with a high degree of accuracy I’d have my jet, wouldn’t even be writing this post and I’d be done staring […]
Tag Archives: Russia
July
05
The Wild Card – Oil!
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA CMT The first half of 2022 left little to cheer about. The bear market at its lows wiped out $10 Trillion in U.S. market cap. The temporary cease fire that drove stocks +4% off the lows didn’t hold as markets gave back about half those gains last week. Year to date, […]
March
21
Down 90%!
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA CMT I don’t think there was a single data point on its own that sparked last week’s rally. Just enough stars aligned forcing a rush back into risk assets. In just 4 trading sessions close to half the year-to-date losses were erased. S&P 500 1 Year Data by FactSet Bulls taunted with “I told […]
March
14
When the COWZ come home!
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA CMT War in Ukraine continues to take its toll on equity prices and with-it investor sentiment. The missile strike hitting a Ukrainian military base near Poland a NATO ally adds to those concerns. If the conflict were to breach the border even through miscalculation it could trigger article 5 potentially putting […]
March
06
We are at War!
posted by David Nelson, CFA
David Nelson, CFA CMT Fears of a coming Fed hike and rising cost of capital hardly seem a worry when Russian troops are firing on a nuclear plant and geopolitical tensions rival those of the Cuban Missile Crisis. Like it or not we are at war. The broad-based sanctions including the denial of Russia to access its […]
March
04
The Cost of Freedom
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA CMT Half a world away freedom is dying tonight. Ukraine citizens represent what America used to be more than a half century ago. I guess the reckless shelling of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant in Lviv was my breaking point forcing me into a Network Character Howard Beale moment screaming “I’m […]
March
03
Blood & Oil
posted by David Nelson, CFA
Every drop of Russian Oil helps pay for the invasion. The achilles heel of sanctions is that it takes too much time. What’s next for the ordinary Russian citizen. Last night on CTV News.
June
07
State of the Market
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA CMT All in Friday’s payroll numbers we’re just what was needed to offset the rising fear that the Fed was falling behind the curve. 559K was a little light and at that pace would take about 16 months for the 8 million still unemployed to return to work getting us back to […]
March
08
Oil and the Black Swan – Saudi’s go nuclear
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA CMT Investors have spent the last two weeks on a roller coaster as markets attempt to discount the coronavirus outbreak and potential damage to the global economy. With demand slowing it’s not surprising energy markets have been weak but Monday’s price action with crude looking to open down more than 20% […]
DAVID NELSON, CFA 