The Glass is Half Empty – 2 Charts that prove it By David Nelson, CFA Despite a Washington backdrop that continues to drag on investor sentiment, markets around the world powered higher following a brief reset after the leak of former FBI Director James Comey’s memo. Leadership continues to narrow into a handful of names […]
Tag Archives: SPY
May
08
Can The Hammer Save Oil Bulls?
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA Healthcare and the French Elections topped the Wall of Worry list for the last several weeks. As of this writing a Macron win seems all but certain with early exit polls giving him 65% of the vote. Here in the states Healthcare is once again center stage as a partisan Congress […]
May
01
What CEOs Will Do With the Trump Tax Cut – The Answer Isn’t What You Think
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA After a 6 week slide from the all-time intraday high of 2400, the S&P 500 (SPY) rallied in the final two weeks of April hoping to retake the high ground. The tug of war between valuation, politics and macro concerns vs. a relatively strong earnings season rages on. While the CBOE […]
April
10
Market Assassins
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA Investor concern has been rising and reflected in the sideways price action over the last several weeks. We’ve rounded up the usual suspects including valuation, politics, military action and the Fed as potential assassins to a bull market now entering its 9th year. Before we break out the cyanide capsules it’s […]
March
23
Canaries in the Coal Mine
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA “The canary in the coal mine is always the first to go.” For more than a century miners carried them in small cages deep into the mine as an early warning detection system for poisonous gas or carbon dioxide. The first sign of distress in the cage sent the men back […]
March
13
Reality Bites! – The End of the Trump Rally?
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA U.S. markets struggled last week closing modestly lower after several weeks of gains. Perhaps it was the exhaustion gap higher following the President’s speech or the building reality that there’s a disconnect between investor perception and the actual timeline of administration proposals. The President has said they are committed to a […]
February
19
I’m getting worried because I’m running out of things to worry about
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA “Markets climb a wall of worry.” It’s a phrase used to describe market rallies in the face of rising investor concern. Wall Street and the media have hundreds of these phrases to put into a few words complex interrelationships that ask the near impossible of investors. Make a binary decision based […]
January
09
Where are the bears?
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA The battle between Bulls & Bears was raging long before the Buttonwood Agreement was signed by 24 brokers in 1792 looking to establish a commission rate to charge clients. Some consider the event the early beginnings of the New York Stock Exchange. Most investors know the long term prevailing trend for […]
November
20
What CEOs will do with the cash – You’re not going to like it
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA While it may feel like the Trump Rally has exploded out of control we’re still at levels we’ve been flirting with since the dog days of summer. The S&P 500 (SPY) is up a little less than 2% from Election Day. The real story has been the rotation in and out […]
November
14
In a New York Minute
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA In a New York Minute Everything can change – Don Henley Don Henley’s lyrics from his popular hit song New York Minute sum up a volatile week that pushed some trades back in the green while others were thrown out in the trash. Donald Trump’s victory election night stunned the world […]
