Tag Archives: Ukraine

August 22

The Jackson Hole Zoo

posted by

By David Nelson, CFA CMT Wall Street has always had a passion for animals. Throughout history market and monetary policy sentiment has been represented by all sorts of creatures including bulls, bears, doves, hawks and of course the dreaded black swan. This year the zoo animals have been particularly active. At the start of the […]

»»
July 05

The Wild Card – Oil!

posted by

By David Nelson, CFA CMT The first half of 2022 left little to cheer about. The bear market at its lows wiped out $10 Trillion in U.S. market cap. The temporary cease fire that drove stocks +4% off the lows didn’t hold as markets gave back about half those gains last week. Year to date, […]

»»
April 10

The China Syndrome

posted by

By David Nelson, CFA Ukraine – The fight for survival and the horrors of a conflict half a world away hasn’t been lost on equity markets. Stocks were challenged even before the invasion as the Fed was preparing to launch an aggressive policy of raising rates while at the same time reducing a massive balance sheet. […]

»»
April 04

We’re not in Kansas anymore

posted by

By David Nelson, CFA Investors entered 2022 with several issues that needed to be resolved. The bubble in non-profitable technology stocks had already started to unwind and inflation was well on its way to becoming a problem not just for investors and the FOMC but for everyday Americans. Add a war breaking out in Ukraine that escalated […]

»»
March 21

Down 90%!

posted by

By David Nelson, CFA CMT I don’t think there was a single data point on its own that sparked last week’s rally. Just enough stars aligned forcing a rush back into risk assets. In just 4 trading sessions close to half the year-to-date losses were erased. S&P 500 1 Year Data by FactSet Bulls taunted with “I told […]

»»
March 16

Ask me when we get to 75

posted by

David joins Fox Business anchor Charles Payne along with Nancy Tengler and Jim Awad in front of a Fed meeting that will usher in the first rate hike since 2018.

»»
March 14

When the COWZ come home!

posted by

By David Nelson, CFA CMT War in Ukraine continues to take its toll on equity prices and with-it investor sentiment. The missile strike hitting a Ukrainian military base near Poland a NATO ally adds to those concerns. If the conflict were to breach the border even through miscalculation it could trigger article 5 potentially putting […]

»»
March 09

Even in the specter of war there is opportunity

posted by

Last month we came within 100 S&P points of what I call fair value. Now we are trying to defend that support.

»»
March 04

The Cost of Freedom

posted by

By David Nelson, CFA CMT Half a world away freedom is dying tonight. Ukraine citizens represent what America used to be more than a half century ago. I guess the reckless shelling of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant in Lviv was my breaking point forcing me into a Network Character Howard Beale moment screaming “I’m […]

»»
March 03

Blood & Oil

posted by

Every drop of Russian Oil helps pay for the invasion. The achilles heel of sanctions is that it takes too much time. What’s next for the ordinary Russian citizen. Last night on CTV News.

»»