Category Archives: Investment Management

October 18

PPI vs CPI – Why it matters!

By David Nelson, CFA In the face of rising investor concern on a range of issues stocks put in a strong week adding to month to date gains. The pivotal moment came Thursday with the S&P delivering its strongest day in months up +1.7%. Add Friday’s monster earnings beat from Goldman (GS) and the glass […]

October 13

Wall Street Loves it, I HATE it!

Easiest way for a CEO to hit an earnings per share target and get their bonus is a stock buyback.

October 04

Wipeout!

By David Nelson, CFA CMT September all but wiped out the strong start to Q3 with both the Dow and NASDAQ ending the quarter in the red leaving only the S&P 500 fractionally in the green up just +0.58%. There was no shortage of suspects to blame. Rising yields, a coming taper, Delta, China, inflation, […]

September 20

Fed Day – The beginning of the end…

By David Nelson, CFA CMT As strategists, portfolio managers, analysts, or market pundits we tend to hype the importance of events to support a narrative that explains our market outlook. In the last decade it has been hard to write a market piece or research report without some mention of the Federal Reserve and or […]

September 13

Avoiding the Hangover

By David Nelson, CFA CMT They say a picture is worth a thousand words. The graphic below tells a lot about the mental state of U.S. investors. No one wants to leave the party but at the same time they don’t want to wake up in the morning with a hangover. In that mindset investors […]

September 07

Job Market Tests Positive

By David Nelson, CFA CMT Friday’s jobs numbers were disappointing on a lot of levels. It confirmed Delta has started to slow economic activity. Industries on the front lines including airlines, travel and hotels have been first to feel the pain. Leisure and hospitality added nothing and even education came in below expectations. It really […]

August 30

The only thing going up faster than stocks

By David Nelson, CFA CMT The Bull Case – The only thing going up faster than stocks are earnings. A year ago, 12-month forward earnings were about $150 and today estimates project $211 a near 40% bump. The S&P on a price basis is up 28% and 31% if you count dividends. All during that […]

August 22

What Kabul means for U.S. markets

By David Nelson, CFA CMT Friday’s feel-good rally wasn’t enough to keep the major indices from slipping into the red for the week. The tragic scenes in Kabul, mounting foreign policy challenges for the President along with a wave of economic data less than ideal proved too much for stocks as investors dialed back exposure. […]

August 12

State of the Markets

Click Here for David’s latest comments on the Fed, Delta and his favorites stocks.

August 09

9 Months Later

By David Nelson, CFA CMT ForĀ 9 months the S&P 500 has steadily pushed higher in a relatively tight channel masking the true volatility. Investors spent much of that time rushing from one secular trade to the next trying to decide if the glass was half full or half empty. Of course, 9 months almost to […]