Tag Archives: Inflation

June 27

CEASE FIRE!

By David Nelson, CFA Throughout history every war has seen periods where the fighting stops and weary soldiers get a chance to lay down their arms. For soldiers on the front lines the operational tempo of conflict forces them to live on the cutting edge and summon all their skills just to survive. Real soldiers of course […]

June 15

Fed Day

June 13

Recession!

By David Nelson, CFA The two-year treasury yield briefly pushed above the 10 year early this morning. On a sustained basis it’s often thought of as a leading indicator of a coming recession. Some parts of the curve are already inverted and of course all this comes on the heels of a very disappointing inflation […]

May 23

It’s worse than we thought!

By David Nelson, CFA The debate over peak inflation and whether it’s arrived or still lies in front of us really doesn’t matter anymore. Whatever metric you’re using, retail giants Target (TGT) and Walmart (WMT) along with a host of other retailers have confirmed our worst fears. It’s worse than we thought (Click on charts […]

May 16

The Money Runner: Talking Points Week 20

By David Nelson, CFA As we head into week 20 for 2022 there’s one question on every investor’s mind: Was Friday’s surge off the bottom the beginning of something sustainable or just a one day cease fire in a war that has wiped $7 Trillion in the S&P 500 alone? First, from a technical perspective nothing […]

April 20

JUST SHUT UP!

April 20

Just Shut Up – DO YOUR JOB!

April 18

Rethinking 60-40

By David Nelson, CFA CMT We came into 2022 with a set of market challenges investors knew would prove difficult.The Fed was already gearing up for an intense interest rate hiking cycle, the first since 2018. Add a frightening war in the Ukraine, a sociopath in Russia hell bent on turning the clock back 30 years […]

April 10

The China Syndrome

By David Nelson, CFA Ukraine – The fight for survival and the horrors of a conflict half a world away hasn’t been lost on equity markets. Stocks were challenged even before the invasion as the Fed was preparing to launch an aggressive policy of raising rates while at the same time reducing a massive balance sheet. […]

January 31

The R Word

By David Nelson, CFA CMT On the heels of 4 chaotic weeks Apple (AAPL) provided enough of a beat and positive forward guidance to shore up investor confidence, even if just for a day. After several round trips, the selling ended about 2:30PM Friday, setting up a 90-minute surge into the bell. While the volume […]