By David Nelson, CFA CMT Investors are questioning the rush into mega cap tech at the height of a banking crisis that has rippled through markets in the last two weeks. I think CNBC’s Josh Brown said it accurately. Investors today view many of these large digital companies as consumer staples. It’s hard to deny that […]
Tag Archives: The Money Runner
Silicon Valley Bank – Did the Fed break it or was it broken already?
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA The failure of Silicon Valley Bank has sent regulators and the Federal Reserve scrambling for answers on how and why this happened. In some ways little has changed since the dark days of the financial crisis. This was a bank pushing the envelope, growing at break neck speed and seemingly unafraid that rising […]
E.S.G. Good for Wall Street Bad for America
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA E.S.G. What is it? Why is it important? And why did Congress just vote to block President Biden’s Department of Labor rule, a rule that encourages private retirement fiduciary is to use ESG in the decision-making process? The bill passed both the House and Senate with bipartisan support on a very slim majority. […]
The Fed needs to tame the inflation beast
posted by David Nelson, CFA
Click on picture for video. Sat down with TD Ameritrade host Oliver Renick to weigh in on the Fed and stocks reporting tonight and in the morning.
Recession – The Fed says “it’s different this time”
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA Markets have always climbed a wall of worry and this year is no exception. High on the list of investor concerns is inflation data that may not be falling fast enough for many officials in the FOMC. There’s a reason why they say the Fed keeps hiking until something breaks. All to […]
This chart shows why stock futures are down this morning
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA Last week’s modest pull back in U.S. stocks was surprising given the current headwinds and challenges for risk assets. 2-year treasury yields are the highest since last November. Short duration fixed income and cash instruments are offering a competitive alternative to stocks. This morning futures reflect that reality with most markets […]
Operational Risk Management 2023 – Portfolio Go No Go Checklist!
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA CMT All branches of the military use ORM or their own Operational Risk Management system. It’s an imperative before launching any mission and commonly used by pilots in making go no go decisions. We identify the risks even those with low probability and make a quantitative judgement as to the feasibility of […]
If jobs are hot why do I see a recession on the horizon?
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA CMT This is what we do. Month after month week after week. Traders, fund managers, advisors and even you at home. We wade through a mountain of economic data looking for clues as to just how good or bad the economy and some of the companies we follow are doing. Why, […]
Bear Market – The Day After
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA CMT Before we get started put down the knives, get off twitter and take a breath. I’m not calling the end of the bear market. If I could do that with a high degree of accuracy I’d have my jet, wouldn’t even be writing this post and I’d be done staring […]
Fed Keeps Moving the Goal Posts
posted by David Nelson, CFA
By David Nelson, CFA Investors understand markets are discounting mechanism that look to perceived future cash flows to price an asset today. It doesn’t matter what the asset is, stocks, bonds, real estate or even art. All are subject to the financial laws of nature. Art doesn’t generate income at least not until it is […]