Tag Archives: The Money Runner

December 05

If jobs are hot why do I see a recession on the horizon?

By David Nelson, CFA CMT This is what we do. Month after month week after week. Traders, fund managers, advisors and even you at home. We wade through a mountain of economic data looking for clues as to just how good or bad the economy and some of the companies we follow are doing. Why, […]

October 24

Bear Market – The Day After

By David Nelson, CFA CMT Before we get started put down the knives, get off twitter and take a breath. I’m not calling the end of the bear market. If I could do that with a high degree of accuracy I’d have my jet, wouldn’t even be writing this post and I’d be done staring […]

September 26

Fed Keeps Moving the Goal Posts

By David Nelson, CFA Investors understand markets are discounting mechanism that look to perceived future cash flows to price an asset today. It doesn’t matter what the asset is, stocks, bonds, real estate or even art. All are subject to the financial laws of nature. Art doesn’t generate income at least not until it is […]

August 29

The Fed needs a new mandate

By David Nelson, CFA The Fed cannot and will not deliver on the goals laid out by Fed Chair Jay Powell in his opening remarks at Jackson Hole. The long-term target of 2% inflation is not achievable. Monetary policy on its own isn’t enough to bring down inflation expectations and deliver on the Fed’s principal […]

August 01

Are we in recession or not?

By David Nelson, CFA CMT The administration, the press and some leading economists are having trouble with the term recession and its definition. So much so that it’s sparked a raging political debate with each side accusing the other of misleading the American people. It doesn’t matter what talking heads including yours truly think. The American people […]

July 18

Moneyball – The Wall Street Edition

By David Nelson, CFA CMT Earnings season is an expectations game. I use the word game because in many ways that’s just what it is. Every sport has analysts who crunch the data coming up with point spreads, player health, weather, etc. Some are even able to make an informed guess on whether the runner […]

May 31

Recession Obsession

By David Nelson, CFA U.S. markets put in their first up week in nearly 2 months. After coming dangerously close to the traditional bear market, down 20% the S&P struggled for a few days and then exploded higher. Nothing changes sentiment like price. We’ll see in the weeks ahead if sentiment readings from AAII improve. (Click on charts to […]

May 30

Father I have sinned!

David joins Fox Business anchor Charles Payne to discuss market timing.

May 27

Recession? – Markets have already decided

David joins Fox Business anchor Maria Bartiromo to weigh in on the inflation debate.

April 24

Rip Off the Band-Aid